UD America vs CD X. Aranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD America
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TEI
2 - 4
UDA
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
UDA
6 - 2
ENC
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 1
UDA
65%
18%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UDA
1 - 1
PCA
32%
22%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 1
UDA
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD X. Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDA
7 - 1
CUR
66%
17%
17%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
4 - 5
CDA
33%
22%
46%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CDA
5 - 1
SXU
57%
19%
24%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
VCF
0 - 5
CDA
48%
22%
30%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDA
1 - 4
VOR
56%
20%
25%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -2 |