Liga Nacional Andalucía Oriental round 28

Almería U19 B vs Real Jaén U19 B analysis

Almería U19 B Real Jaén U19 B
21 ELO 14
-0.7% Tilt 7.7%
11005º General ELO ranking 13406º
1593º Country ELO ranking 3505º
ELO win probability
67.9%
Almería U19 B
16.9%
Draw
15.2%
Real Jaén U19 B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
Almería U19 B
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.2%
Win probability
Real Jaén U19 B
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Almería U19 B
-20%
-62%
Real Jaén U19 B

Points and table prediction

Almería U19 B
Their league position
Real Jaén U19 B
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
37
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Arenas de Armilla U19
63
63
100%
La Mosca U19
58
58
100%
Almería U19 B
53
56
81%
Málaga U19 B
55
55
81%
26 De Febrero U19
51
54
91%
Mijas Las Lagunas U19
49
49
100%
CD Puerto Malagueño U19
46
46
100%
CD Tiro Pichón U19
42
42
100%
Pvo. El Ejido U19
38
38
100%
Real Jaén U19 B
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Atarfe Industrial U19
11º
36
36
11º
100%
La Cañada Atlético U19 B
12º
34
34
12º
100%
Granada CF U19 B
13º
33
33
13º
100%
CD Santa Fe U19
14º
33
33
14º
100%
CD Maavi U19
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Atlético Melilla U19
16º
10
10
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Almería U19 B
Real Jaén U19 B
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Almería U19 B
Real Jaén U19 B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Almería U19 B
Almería U19 B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2025
GRA
Granada CF U19 B
2 - 0
Almería U19 B
UDA
21%
21%
59%
21 16 5 0
23 Mar. 2025
UDA
Almería U19 B
2 - 1
CD Tiro Pichón U19
CDT
63%
20%
17%
21 18 3 0
16 Mar. 2025
ELE
Pvo. El Ejido U19
2 - 1
Almería U19 B
UDA
10%
15%
75%
21 11 10 0
09 Mar. 2025
UDA
Almería U19 B
3 - 1
CD Puerto Malagueño U19
MAL
58%
20%
22%
21 18 3 0
28 Feb. 2025
CDM
CD Maavi U19
2 - 4
Almería U19 B
UDA
12%
15%
73%
20 10 10 +1

Matches

Real Jaén U19 B
Real Jaén U19 B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2025
REA
Real Jaén U19 B
1 - 2
La Cañada Atlético U19 B
UCD
66%
17%
16%
16 13 3 0
22 Mar. 2025
ATA
Atarfe Industrial U19
3 - 3
Real Jaén U19 B
REA
55%
21%
24%
15 18 3 +1
15 Mar. 2025
REA
Real Jaén U19 B
8 - 0
Atlético Melilla U19
AME
63%
18%
20%
14 11 3 +1
09 Mar. 2025
LAS
Mijas Las Lagunas U19
3 - 1
Real Jaén U19 B
REA
53%
21%
26%
15 17 2 -1
01 Mar. 2025
CD2
26 De Febrero U19
2 - 0
Real Jaén U19 B
REA
61%
20%
20%
15 20 5 0