UCV vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
UCV
4 - 1
MIN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UCV
1 - 1
MET
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
LAL
0 - 1
UCV
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UCV
4 - 0
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
UCV
68%
21%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 1
CAR
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
APC
3 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
YAR
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
DEP
25%
28%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 1
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |