U20 World Cup . Semi-finals

Ukraine U20 vs Italy U20 analysis

Ukraine U20 Italy U20
63 ELO 59
-3.1% Tilt -5.3%
28996º General ELO ranking 1212º
120º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Ukraine U20
24.6%
Draw
30%
Italy U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
Ukraine U20
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30%
Win probability
Italy U20
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ukraine U20
+41%
+53%
Italy U20

ELO progression

Ukraine U20
Italy U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ukraine U20
Ukraine U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2019
COL
Colombia U20
0 - 1
Ukraine U20
UKR
60%
22%
19%
61 69 8 0
03 Jun. 2019
UKR
Ukraine U20
4 - 1
Panama U20
PAN
52%
24%
25%
60 55 5 +1
30 May. 2019
NGA
Nigeria U20
1 - 1
Ukraine U20
UKR
41%
25%
34%
60 57 3 0
27 May. 2019
QAT
Qatar U20s
0 - 1
Ukraine U20
UKR
16%
22%
61%
60 43 17 0
24 May. 2019
UKR
Ukraine U20
2 - 1
USA U20
USA
32%
24%
44%
59 63 4 +1

Matches

Italy U20
Italy U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2019
ITA
Italy U20
4 - 2
Mali U20
MLI
62%
21%
18%
59 51 8 0
02 Jun. 2019
ITA
Italy U20
1 - 0
Poland U-20
POL
53%
23%
24%
59 54 5 0
29 May. 2019
ITA
Italy U20
0 - 0
Japan U20
JAP
45%
24%
31%
59 58 1 0
26 May. 2019
ECU
Ecuador U20
0 - 1
Italy U20
ITA
47%
25%
28%
58 61 3 +1
23 May. 2019
MEX
Mexico U20
1 - 2
Italy U20
ITA
57%
22%
21%
57 62 5 +1
X