UCLA FC vs Caracas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCLA FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
UCL
2 - 1
TUR
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
UCV
1 - 0
UCL
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
UCL
1 - 2
LAR
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GAS
3 - 2
UCL
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
UCL
1 - 2
CAR
14%
21%
66%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
UCV
2 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 2
ITA
24%
25%
52%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
TUR
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GAS
1 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TRU
2 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |