UC La Estrella vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CDB
2 - 2
UCL
22%
22%
57%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
UCL
2 - 1
ADL
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UDF
2 - 2
UCL
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
UCL
1 - 2
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
UCL
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAM
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
CDT
43%
24%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIL
11%
16%
72%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CDB
2 - 2
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |