UC Cartes vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
16º
13º
30
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Cartes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
4 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAY
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
MAR
18%
22%
61%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REV
2 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
SOL
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAY
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
REV
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
CUL
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |