AlbinoLeffe vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
ABN
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ABN
1 - 1
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 0
LIV
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 2
ABN
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 1
TRE
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 3
LEC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
REG
2 - 3
VAR
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VAR
3 - 2
PIS
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |