Série D Brazil Final round 1/16
Uberlândia vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uberlândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 1
FER
29%
29%
42%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
UBE
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
UBE
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 3
CAL
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
UBE
0 - 0
BOA
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
APA
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 2
NME
15%
22%
64%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
BRA
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
GAM
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
URO
0 - 1
NME
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |