UB Conquense vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
24.2%
64.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.4%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
UBC
1 - 0
CFP
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RMC
3 - 1
UBC
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
UBC
1 - 1
ALC
50%
26%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ALC
0 - 2
UBC
45%
28%
28%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BUR
1 - 2
UBC
48%
29%
23%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DEP
5 - 1
ATM
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 0
FCB
30%
26%
43%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ATM
0 - 3
VCF
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
OSA
1 - 0
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |