1. Lig Round 21

Tuzlaspor vs Manisa FK analysis

Tuzlaspor Manisa FK
61 ELO 68
5.5% Tilt -0.5%
22600º General ELO ranking 1133º
259º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
30.3%
Tuzlaspor
26.3%
Draw
43.4%
Manisa FK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
Tuzlaspor
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.4%
Win probability
Manisa FK
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Tuzlaspor
Their league position
Manisa FK
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
14º
18º
16º
40
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eyupspor
75
75
100%
Göztepe
70
70
100%
Sakaryaspor
60
60
100%
Bodrum FK
57
57
100%
Corum FK
56
56
100%
Kocaelispor
55
55
100%
Boluspor
53
53
100%
Gençlerbirliği SK
51
51
100%
Bandirmaspor
50
50
100%
Erzurumspor
10º
44
47
10º
100%
Umraniyespor
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Manisa FK
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Keciorengucu
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Adanaspor
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Sanliurfaspor
15º
38
38
15º
0%
Tuzlaspor
16º
38
38
16º
0%
Altay
17º
10
19
17º
100%
Giresunspor
18º
7
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tuzlaspor
Manisa FK
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Tuzlaspor
Manisa FK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tuzlaspor
Tuzlaspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
EYU
Eyupspor
4 - 0
Tuzlaspor
TUZ
71%
19%
10%
61 76 15 0
21 Jan. 2024
TUZ
Tuzlaspor
2 - 0
Altay
ALT
43%
26%
31%
60 61 1 +1
14 Jan. 2024
COR
Corum FK
2 - 1
Tuzlaspor
TUZ
62%
22%
16%
60 68 8 0
23 Dec. 2023
GEN
Gençlerbirliği SK
0 - 2
Tuzlaspor
TUZ
65%
21%
15%
59 67 8 +1
19 Dec. 2023
TUZ
Tuzlaspor
1 - 3
Sakaryaspor
SAK
21%
25%
54%
59 72 13 0

Matches

Manisa FK
Manisa FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
MAN
Manisa FK
0 - 2
Erzurumspor
ERZ
56%
24%
20%
69 65 4 0
21 Jan. 2024
KEC
Keciorengucu
1 - 1
Manisa FK
MAN
38%
26%
36%
69 65 4 0
18 Jan. 2024
TRA
Trabzonspor
3 - 1
Manisa FK
MAN
75%
16%
9%
69 85 16 0
14 Jan. 2024
MAN
Manisa FK
2 - 1
Kocaelispor
KOC
48%
26%
26%
69 69 0 0
25 Dec. 2023
MAN
Manisa FK
1 - 1
Sanliurfaspor
SAN
55%
23%
22%
69 64 5 0