Kenya Premier League Round 17

Tusker FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz analysis

Tusker FC Kakamega Homeboyz
67 ELO 58
-23% Tilt -6%
1895º General ELO ranking 1938º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.2%
Tusker FC
28.4%
Draw
20.4%
Kakamega Homeboyz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
Tusker FC
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
20.4%
Win probability
Kakamega Homeboyz
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tusker FC
+3%
+3%
Kakamega Homeboyz

ELO progression

Tusker FC
Kakamega Homeboyz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tusker FC
Tusker FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2013
TUS
Tusker FC
1 - 2
Muhoroni Youth 2017
MUH
61%
26%
14%
67 52 15 0
17 Jul. 2013
MAT
Mathare United
1 - 0
Tusker FC
TUS
35%
27%
38%
68 60 8 -1
06 Jul. 2013
SOF
Sofapaka
1 - 1
Tusker FC
TUS
41%
27%
32%
68 65 3 0
29 Jun. 2013
TUS
Tusker FC
0 - 0
Sofapaka
SOF
47%
29%
24%
68 65 3 0
23 Jun. 2013
KAK
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 - 5
Tusker FC
TUS
36%
29%
36%
68 59 9 0

Matches

Kakamega Homeboyz
Kakamega Homeboyz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2013
KAK
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 - 0
Nairobi City Stars
NAI
57%
25%
18%
59 57 2 0
07 Jul. 2013
KAK
Kakamega Homeboyz
4 - 1
SoNy Sugar
SON
52%
26%
22%
58 58 0 +1
29 Jun. 2013
SON
SoNy Sugar
0 - 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
KAK
42%
29%
28%
58 58 0 0
23 Jun. 2013
KAK
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 - 5
Tusker FC
TUS
36%
29%
36%
59 68 9 -1
25 May. 2013
NAI
Nairobi City Stars
1 - 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
KAK
38%
29%
33%
59 56 3 0