Turris Neapolis vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 4
FCC
20%
26%
55%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SSC
4 - 1
TUR
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PIC
0 - 1
TUR
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 1
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JUS
0 - 2
TUR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AUD
0 - 1
GEL
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GEL
3 - 0
TAR
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
GEL
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GEL
1 - 1
RPO
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AVE
0 - 0
GEL
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |