Tunari vs Agricola Borcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+52%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 64 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 65 |
3º
|
2% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
90% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 35 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 32 |
13º
|
99% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 27 |
14º
|
99% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
15º
|
3% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 2 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 61% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 39% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
TUN
BOR
UNI
RAP
OLT
IMO
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO TUN | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AFU
1 - 2
TUN
57%
24%
19%
|
243 | 679 | 436 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CSM
1 - 1
TUN
46%
27%
26%
|
243 | 308 | 65 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TUN
6 - 1
CSF
41%
28%
31%
|
239 | 311 | -72 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SCR
1 - 1
TUN
46%
27%
27%
|
239 | 217 | -22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TUN
3 - 1
SBU
40%
28%
32%
|
237 | 413 | -176 | +3 |
Matches
Agricola Borcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO BOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 7
RAP
34%
28%
39%
|
306 | 721 | -415 | -3 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 2
OLT
44%
27%
28%
|
308 | 298 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AFU
4 - 0
BOR
53%
25%
22%
|
310 | 676 | 366 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CSM
1 - 3
BOR
44%
27%
28%
|
308 | 313 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
CSF
44%
27%
28%
|
306 | 314 | -8 | +2 |