Paraense Final . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Tuna Luso vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 2
TUN
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 2
PAY
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 0
FRA
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 1
TUN
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 1
SCP
70%
17%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 2
TUN
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 3
PAR
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
REM
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 0
PAR
16%
21%
62%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 3
FRA
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |