Tuna Luso vs SE Caete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
BPA
3 - 3
TUN
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 2
AGU
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 1
TUN
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
SAO
74%
15%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
TUN
15%
19%
66%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SE Caete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 1
IND
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SEC
3 - 2
TAP
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
SEC
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
REM
4 - 0
SEC
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SEC
1 - 1
REM
7%
14%
80%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |