TSV Essingen vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
61.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+122%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
8º
18º
10º
60
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
95 | 95 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
90% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 0
TSV
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 3
PFO
23%
24%
53%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
TSV
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 5
VFR
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 2
TSV
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 2
S04
4%
10%
86%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
REU
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 1
VFR
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |