Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
1 - 0
SGF
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 5
FCN
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
7 - 1
WEH
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
BVB
0 - 4
HOF
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
HOF
4 - 0
FCU
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
SVS
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
M05
6 - 0
WUR
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 0
M05
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
M05
3 - 1
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
BVB
0 - 2
M05
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |