Hoffenheim vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 2
HOF
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
HOF
1 - 1
M05
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
HOF
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
HOF
0 - 1
SGF
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
HOF
2 - 2
AUG
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 2
LEV
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FCN
2 - 1
KOL
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 1
HSV
32%
24%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
KAI
0 - 1
KOL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 4
S04
23%
25%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |