Truro City vs Rugby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
WHI
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
WHI
0 - 0
SWI
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
MER
1 - 2
WHI
33%
24%
44%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WHI
5 - 1
BED
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
WHI
1 - 1
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
RUG
0 - 0
SWI
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
RUG
0 - 3
HAL
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
RUG
4 - 0
OXF
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +6 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
BED
3 - 1
RUG
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 0
RUG
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |