Truro City vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GUL
3 - 0
WHI
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
WHI
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MON
1 - 5
WHI
12%
17%
72%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
TAU
2 - 4
WHI
42%
22%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
WHI
4 - 1
WIM
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 2
STF
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 4
BRI
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
EXE
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
WEY
2 - 3
EXE
11%
17%
72%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BAT
3 - 4
EXE
11%
18%
72%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |