Trujillo vs CD Ciconia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TAL
3 - 6
TRU
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
TRU
59%
21%
20%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TRU
2 - 0
CDD
11%
17%
73%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CHI
4 - 0
TRU
67%
19%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TRU
0 - 2
AMA
13%
21%
66%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ciconia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 2
MON
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDD
2 - 0
CDC
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 4
ARR
42%
24%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CDC
7 - 1
MAL
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CPC
2 - 2
CDC
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |