Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 2
BAR
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 3
ZUL
17%
24%
58%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
TRU
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 0
TRU
81%
13%
5%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 5
ZAM
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 2
EST
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
ZUL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |