Troyes vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FCG
0 - 2
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
TRO
1 - 1
LMU
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
FCM
1 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
TRO
1 - 0
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NIO
3 - 1
TRO
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
4 - 1
STL
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ASS
2 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
CHA
0 - 3
SPO
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
SPO
2 - 2
CSL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |