Troyes vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
REI
1 - 0
TRO
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
5 - 0
PLA
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
PFC
2 - 2
TRO
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 0
CSL
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
4 - 0
NAN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
DIJ
1 - 0
NÎM
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
6 - 1
NÎM
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
NÎM
1 - 1
VAN
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
TOU
0 - 0
NÎM
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 1
NÎM
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |