Troyes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
STL
0 - 0
TRO
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
ANG
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 1
TRO
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 1
MON
23%
28%
50%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
AMI
1 - 1
TRO
61%
24%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAI
80%
15%
5%
|
69 | 27 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FUR
4 - 3
BAS
10%
21%
69%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
CLE
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
SPO
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
LHA
2 - 0
BAS
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -2 |