Trofense vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRO
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 2
NAV
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 1
TRO
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 0
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
UNM
0 - 1
TRO
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
OLH
0 - 0
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UNM
0 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
EST
4 - 3
OLH
32%
27%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |