Trigueros vs Gibraleón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trigueros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
TRI
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
TRI
36%
24%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 0
BEA
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LAP
2 - 1
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 0
VIL
70%
18%
13%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gibraleón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
OCF
3 - 1
SAN
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BEA
2 - 3
OCF
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OCF
2 - 0
LAP
29%
25%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
OCF
28%
23%
49%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OCF
2 - 0
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |