Treze vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 0
FLU
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
TRE
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 2
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 0
TRE
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
TRE
3 - 1
ABC
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
RIP
1 - 1
ITA
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
RIP
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RIP
2 - 1
OSE
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OSE
0 - 0
RIP
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 2
RIP
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |