Paraibano . Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Treze vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
TRE
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
TRE
26%
25%
50%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 2
TRE
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 12 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
TRE
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 2
ECP
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 4
CAM
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
CAM
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |