Treze vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
BRA
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 2
TRE
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
TRE
0 - 1
CRB
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
LUV
4 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
TRE
35%
29%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
AGU
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
BRA
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAN
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CUI
3 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
AGU
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |