Croatia Third Division center Round 13

NK Trešnjevka vs Sava Strmec analysis

NK Trešnjevka Sava Strmec
33 ELO 30
2.9% Tilt -1.1%
30731º General ELO ranking 34174º
169º Country ELO ranking 179º
ELO win probability
59.2%
NK Trešnjevka
19.4%
Draw
21.5%
Sava Strmec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
NK Trešnjevka
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.5%
Win probability
Sava Strmec
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NK Trešnjevka
-23%
-23%
Sava Strmec

Points and table prediction

NK Trešnjevka
Their league position
Sava Strmec
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
16º
26
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Segesta
74
74
100%
Gaj Mače
64
64
100%
Vrapče
60
60
100%
Lučko
58
58
100%
NK Ponikve
51
51
100%
Zagorec
49
49
100%
NK Maksimir
47
47
0%
Samobor
47
47
0%
NK Trešnjevka
47
47
0%
Kurilovec
10º
47
47
10º
0%
NK HASK Zagreb
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Lukavec
12º
45
45
12º
100%
 Dinamo OO
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Bistra
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Mladost Petrinja
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Tondach Bedekovcina
16º
32
32
16º
100%
NK Zelina
17º
29
29
17º
0%
Sava Strmec
18º
26
29
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
NK Trešnjevka
Sava Strmec
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

NK Trešnjevka
Sava Strmec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NK Trešnjevka
NK Trešnjevka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
SAM
Samobor
4 - 1
NK Trešnjevka
TRE
30%
23%
47%
34 28 6 0
21 Oct. 2023
TRE
NK Trešnjevka
4 - 0
Bistra
BIS
57%
20%
22%
33 30 3 +1
14 Oct. 2023
LKV
Lukavec
0 - 0
NK Trešnjevka
TRE
42%
22%
36%
33 32 1 0
07 Oct. 2023
TRE
NK Trešnjevka
4 - 3
NK Zelina
NKZ
64%
18%
18%
33 25 8 0
04 Oct. 2023
SEG
Segesta
6 - 1
NK Trešnjevka
TRE
49%
22%
29%
34 33 1 -1

Matches

Sava Strmec
Sava Strmec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2023
STR
Sava Strmec
0 - 3
NK HASK Zagreb
HAS
54%
21%
25%
31 30 1 0
22 Oct. 2023
STR
Sava Strmec
0 - 1
 Dinamo OO
DOO
59%
19%
22%
31 27 4 0
14 Oct. 2023
SAM
Samobor
1 - 1
Sava Strmec
STR
41%
23%
37%
31 29 2 0
08 Oct. 2023
STR
Sava Strmec
2 - 0
Bistra
BIS
50%
21%
29%
30 30 0 +1
04 Oct. 2023
LKV
Lukavec
3 - 0
Sava Strmec
STR
39%
23%
38%
32 29 3 -2