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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 33

Trento vs Virtus Bolzano analysis

Trento Virtus Bolzano
12 ELO 32
49% Tilt -46%
9290º General ELO ranking 4435º
318º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
67.6%
Trento
21.1%
Draw
11.3%
Virtus Bolzano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
Trento
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.3%
Win probability
Virtus Bolzano
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Trento
+49%
+3%
Virtus Bolzano

Basic stats

2
1
GF
1
2
GC
12
32
ELO
1.9
0.6
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Trento
Their league position
Virtus Bolzano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
38
19º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trento
81
81
100%
Arzignano Valchiampo
67
67
100%
Manzanese
66
66
100%
Clodiense
62
62
100%
Caldiero Terme
61
61
100%
Mestre
60
60
100%
Delta Porto Tolle
58
58
100%
Luparense
54
54
100%
Belluno
53
53
100%
Cjarlins Muzane
10º
52
52
10º
50%
Cartigliano
11º
52
52
11º
50%
Union San Giorgio Sedico
12º
49
49
13º
50%
Adriese
13º
49
49
12º
50%
Ambrosiana
14º
47
47
14º
100%
AC Este
15º
43
43
15º
100%
Campodarsego
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Union Feltre
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Virtus Bolzano
18º
38
38
18º
50%
Montebelluna
19º
38
38
19º
50%
Chions
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Trento
Virtus Bolzano
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 50%
Relegation
0% 50%

ELO progression

Trento
TRE
Virtus Bolzano
VIR
Adriese
SDA
Belluno
BEL
Cartigliano
CAR
Campodarsego
CAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Trento
Trento
1%
X%
2%
ELO TRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2021
TRE
Trento
1 - 1
Caldiero Terme
CAL
41%
28%
31%
174 290 -116 0
28 Apr. 2021
TRE
Trento
2 - 2
Clodiense
CLO
46%
27%
27%
169 200 -31 0
18 Apr. 2021
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 1
Trento
TRE
46%
27%
27%
173 150 -23 +1
14 Apr. 2021
TRE
Trento
4 - 1
Luparense
SAN
42%
28%
30%
170 238 -68 +3
11 Apr. 2021
SGS
Union San Giorgio Sedico
2 - 1
Trento
TRE
49%
26%
25%
171 299 128 -1

Matches

Virtus Bolzano
Virtus Bolzano
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
VIR
Virtus Bolzano
2 - 4
Cjarlins Muzane
CJA
53%
25%
22%
419 223 196 -3
14 Apr. 2021
DEL
Delta Porto Tolle
1 - 0
Virtus Bolzano
VIR
46%
27%
27%
421 377 -44 -1
10 Apr. 2021
VIR
Virtus Bolzano
2 - 1
Campodarsego
CAM
47%
27%
26%
420 340 80 +1
01 Apr. 2021
CHI
Chions
0 - 0
Virtus Bolzano
VIR
42%
27%
31%
420 251 -169 0
27 Mar. 2021
VIR
Virtus Bolzano
1 - 2
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
49%
26%
25%
421 301 120 -2