Trento vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 0
TRE
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TRE
3 - 0
PRO
33%
28%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PIA
0 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 1
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CTT
0 - 0
TRE
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 72 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 0
SER
66%
22%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
FER
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 0
SER
68%
21%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
REN
1 - 3
SER
61%
24%
16%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SER
4 - 4
ADR
53%
25%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |