Treibach vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2010 |
SPI
1 - 1
TRE
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TRE
0 - 2
FEL
26%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SVV
3 - 1
TRE
50%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 2
SKA
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SAS
4 - 3
TRE
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
MIC
1 - 0
UMA
36%
26%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
WAC
3 - 0
MIC
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MIC
2 - 3
BLE
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MIC
2 - 0
SPI
28%
24%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
FEL
2 - 1
MIC
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |