FAW Championship Sur Jor. 22

Trefelin vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis

Trefelin Llanelli Town AFC
32 ELO 47
4.2% Tilt 6.4%
7942º General ELO ranking 4228º
44º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
18.4%
Trefelin
20.3%
Draw
61.3%
Llanelli Town AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
Trefelin
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.3%
Win probability
Llanelli Town AFC
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Trefelin
+9%
-8%
Llanelli Town AFC

ELO progression

Trefelin
Llanelli Town AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Trefelin
Trefelin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2024
TRE
Trefelin
1 - 0
Abergavenny Town
ABE
74%
15%
12%
31 20 11 0
13 Jan. 2024
TAF
Taffs Well
1 - 2
Trefelin
TRE
59%
19%
22%
30 36 6 +1
05 Jan. 2024
TRE
Trefelin
3 - 1
Caerau Ely
CAE
38%
21%
42%
27 31 4 +3
30 Dec. 2023
LID
Afan Lido
5 - 2
Trefelin
TRE
68%
16%
16%
28 37 9 -1
26 Dec. 2023
TRE
Trefelin
2 - 1
Afan Lido
LID
22%
19%
59%
26 38 12 +2

Matches

Llanelli Town AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
ABB
Abertillery Bluebirds
1 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
10%
16%
75%
47 17 30 0
05 Jan. 2024
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
3 - 2
Afan Lido
LID
67%
18%
15%
47 38 9 0
26 Dec. 2023
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
1 - 2
Ammanford AFC
AAF
75%
16%
9%
48 37 11 -1
15 Dec. 2023
CAM
Cambrian & Clydach
1 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
22%
21%
57%
48 38 10 0
08 Dec. 2023
BRI
Briton Ferry
1 - 0
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
47%
22%
32%
48 51 3 0
X