Narva Trans vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
8º
48
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
TRA
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 0
TRA
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
TAM
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 1
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 2
TRA
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAI
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 3
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 5
FLO
7%
16%
77%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 0
PAR
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
HJP
31%
24%
46%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |