Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRA
32%
27%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
STO
1 - 1
TRA
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
TRA
4 - 2
SHW
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
TRA
2 - 1
STF
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
DON
0 - 0
TRA
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
OLD
3 - 2
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
SHW
1 - 1
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
OLD
3 - 0
MKD
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
OLD
2 - 1
STO
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
HUL
2 - 0
OLD
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |