National League Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Tranmere Rovers vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
ALD
0 - 3
TRA
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAI
0 - 1
TRA
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
4 - 1
SOU
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 2
TRA
28%
27%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 2
ALD
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
ALD
0 - 3
TRA
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ALD
2 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 3
ALD
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ALD
1 - 0
DOV
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 2
ALD
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |