TP Mazembe vs Les Astres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
SUN
3 - 2
TPM
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 0
TPM
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
TPM
1 - 0
FAR
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
TPM
4 - 1
ASA
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ASA
2 - 2
TPM
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Les Astres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
LES
2 - 2
UNG
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
LES
1 - 1
CSS
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
LES
4 - 0
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2007 |
LNG
1 - 1
LES
50%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
LES
0 - 1
MCA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |