Tours vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
POI
4 - 1
TOU
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
TOU
4 - 1
ANG
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
PFC
1 - 0
TOU
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
TOU
1 - 1
STM
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
RAC
1 - 0
TOU
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SPI
0 - 0
ANG
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
STM
1 - 0
SPI
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
SPI
0 - 0
SDL
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
SED
1 - 2
SPI
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
SPI
1 - 1
NOI
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |