FNL Round 12

Tosno vs Luch Vladivostok analysis

Tosno Luch Vladivostok
63 ELO 64
-9.2% Tilt 3.8%
23206º General ELO ranking 20142º
204º Country ELO ranking 178º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Tosno
28.2%
Draw
26.1%
Luch Vladivostok

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
Tosno
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.1%
Win probability
Luch Vladivostok
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Tosno
Luch Vladivostok
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tosno
Tosno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2015
TYU
Tyumen
1 - 0
Tosno
TOS
42%
27%
32%
65 64 1 0
06 Sep. 2015
TOS
Tosno
2 - 2
Yenisey
YEN
50%
28%
23%
66 61 5 -1
31 Aug. 2015
VOL
Volgar Astrakhan
1 - 0
Tosno
TOS
40%
28%
32%
66 66 0 0
23 Aug. 2015
YAR
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 - 1
Tosno
TOS
46%
28%
25%
66 69 3 0
17 Aug. 2015
GAZ
FC Orenburg
3 - 1
Tosno
TOS
58%
25%
18%
67 76 9 -1

Matches

Luch Vladivostok
Luch Vladivostok
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2015
ARS
Arsenal Tula
1 - 0
Luch Vladivostok
VLA
66%
22%
12%
64 76 12 0
07 Sep. 2015
ZEN
Zenit II
3 - 1
Luch Vladivostok
VLA
34%
28%
38%
65 55 10 -1
31 Aug. 2015
VLA
Luch Vladivostok
1 - 0
Radian-Baykal
RAD
73%
18%
9%
65 48 17 0
23 Aug. 2015
FAK
Fakel
2 - 0
Luch Vladivostok
VLA
39%
29%
33%
66 63 3 -1
17 Aug. 2015
VLA
Luch Vladivostok
1 - 1
Spartak Moskva II
SPA
53%
25%
22%
66 59 7 0