FA Trophy . 1/32
Global 2-0
Torquay United vs Chesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GUL
0 - 1
WRE
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUL
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GUL
1 - 3
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 0
GUL
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 1
GUL
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
BED
3 - 1
CHE
14%
20%
67%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BRA
4 - 0
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
FRO
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FRO
1 - 1
CHE
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
KET
3 - 0
CHE
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |