Torpedo Zhodino vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
3º
26
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Zhodino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
ISL
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 2
TOR
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCS
66%
21%
12%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DNM
0 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 0
TOR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 2
GOM
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 2
NAF
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
NAF
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 1
FCS
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 2
NAF
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |