Serie A Round 11

Torino vs Perugia analysis

Torino Perugia
81 ELO 80
-3.6% Tilt -10.4%
34º General ELO ranking 1266º
10º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
53.5%
Torino
24.4%
Draw
22.2%
Perugia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
Torino
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
Perugia
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Torino
-3%
-6%
Perugia

ELO progression

Torino
Perugia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Torino
Torino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 1999
VER
Hellas Verona
0 - 1
Torino
TOR
42%
27%
32%
81 76 5 0
07 Nov. 1999
TOR
Torino
0 - 0
Juventus
JUV
25%
27%
49%
81 91 10 0
30 Oct. 1999
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 1
Torino
TOR
73%
17%
10%
80 89 9 +1
27 Oct. 1999
TOR
Torino
2 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
51%
25%
24%
80 83 3 0
24 Oct. 1999
TOR
Torino
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
25%
25%
50%
80 89 9 0

Matches

Perugia
Perugia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 1999
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Perugia
PRG
72%
17%
10%
80 89 9 0
06 Nov. 1999
PRG
Perugia
1 - 2
SSC Bari
BAR
49%
25%
26%
81 82 1 -1
31 Oct. 1999
LEC
Lecce
0 - 1
Perugia
PRG
45%
26%
30%
80 77 3 +1
27 Oct. 1999
PRG
Perugia
1 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
81%
12%
7%
80 68 12 0
23 Oct. 1999
PRG
Perugia
2 - 1
Venezia
VNZ
53%
25%
23%
80 81 1 0