Torino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 3
ROM
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 1
TOR
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 1
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
REG
2 - 1
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
REN
1 - 2
NOV
31%
29%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
PON
0 - 3
NOV
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
ABN
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |