Tondela vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
TON
68%
20%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
TON
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TON
1 - 0
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 0
TON
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
FCP
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
MOR
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
UNM
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 2
MOR
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |