Tondela vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 1
TON
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
TON
0 - 1
CHA
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FEI
2 - 0
TON
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TON
1 - 0
OLI
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
UNM
0 - 1
TON
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FAR
2 - 1
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 0
FAR
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 0
MOR
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ACV
3 - 0
FAR
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FAR
3 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |