Tombense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
55.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
TOM
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 0
TOM
77%
17%
6%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
TOM
66%
23%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
VAS
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
PPE
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
BAH
9%
20%
71%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BAH
4 - 0
LON
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
BAH
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |