Liga MX Finals Ap. . Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 0
JUA
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 1
QRO
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 1
TOL
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 1
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAZ
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUA
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
AME
3 - 3
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
QRO
3 - 3
SAN
22%
25%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
NEC
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |